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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be a more important option in his team's passing offense this week (16.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
  • Kalif Raymond has been among the best WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 79th percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Kalif Raymond has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.38 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 21st percentile among WRs
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a lowly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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