Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be a more important option in his team's passing offense this week (16.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
Kalif Raymond has been among the best WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 79th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Kalif Raymond has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.38 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 21st percentile among WRs
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a lowly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.