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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Kalif Raymond's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.5% to 72.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kalif Raymond has gone out for fewer passes this season (63.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (77.6%).
  • Kalif Raymond has posted quite a few less air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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