Kalif Raymond Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving TD

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+236/-375).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +238 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +236.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (17.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
Kalif Raymond's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 35.3.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Kalif Raymond grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

More Kalif Raymond Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow