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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+236/-375).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +238 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +236.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (17.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
  • Kalif Raymond's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 35.3.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Kalif Raymond grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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