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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+426/-954).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -754 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -954.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Kalif Raymond's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 67.5% to 72.0%.

The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 6th-most passing TDs in the league to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kalif Raymond has posted quite a few less air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).

The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Kalif Raymond grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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