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Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kadarius Toney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Kadarius Toney's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, averaging 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to just 0.2 last season.

The Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.8%) to wide receivers this year (78.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Kadarius Toney has run a route on 22.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among wide receivers.

The Vikings safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Kadarius Toney Player Props

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