Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kadarius Toney's 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 0.0 mark.
Kadarius Toney rates as one of the leading WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 6.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 89th percentile.
Favors Under
Kadarius Toney has run a route on 25.1% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 24th percentile among wideouts.
When talking about air yards, Kadarius Toney ranks in the paltry 19th percentile among wide receivers this year, with just 9.0 per game.
With a lackluster 4.6 adjusted yards per target (5th percentile) this year, Kadarius Toney ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game in football.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.