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Kadarius Toney
NFL · Player Props
Kadarius Toney
WR · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 1, 2023 Updated Sep 8, 2023 2:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards

Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to be much more involved in his team's pass game this week (13.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.2% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Kadarius Toney has notched a puny 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 13th percentile among wideouts.
  • Kadarius Toney has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.0 yards per game while ranking in the 1st percentile among wideouts.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
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