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Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to total 6.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to be much more involved in his team's passing offense this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.9% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • Kadarius Toney has notched far fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
  • Kadarius Toney has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.

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