Kadarius Toney Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kadarius Toney

NFL · Player Props

Kadarius Toney

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Kadarius Toney Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+288/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +311 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +288.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Kadarius Toney has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a terrific 74.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.18 per game since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Kadarius Toney grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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