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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Juwan Johnson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 77.1%.

This year, the porous Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up a staggering 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Juwan Johnson's 20.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 30.8.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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