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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-177).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -177.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to accumulate 5.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

While Juwan Johnson has garnered 10.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's passing offense in this game at 17.5%.

Juwan Johnson's 80.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last year's 64.1% mark.

This year, the porous New York Giants pass defense has conceded a whopping 93.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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