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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (+106/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Juwan Johnson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (70.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (34.8%).

THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.2 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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