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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Juwan Johnson has been used less as a potential target this year (68.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (34.8%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Juwan Johnson's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 63.2% to 60.1%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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