|
|
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-146).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to garner 4.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.Juwan Johnson's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.2.The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.Juwan Johnson's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.2% to 50.0%.The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
