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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • Juwan Johnson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 64.1% to 77.1%.
  • Juwan Johnson's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this year represents a meaningful boost in his receiving skills over last year's 6.5 figure.
  • This year, the shaky Panthers defense has conceded a massive 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown bad efficiency against TEs this year, giving up 9.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
  • After accruing 37.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has produced significantly fewer this season, now pacing 20.0 per game.
  • Juwan Johnson's 20.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 30.8.

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