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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the projections to run 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Juwan Johnson's 77.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 64.1% rate.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Los Angeles's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.3 per game) this year.

Juwan Johnson has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).

Juwan Johnson's 18.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 30.8.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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