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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a huge -7.5-point underdog this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Juwan Johnson is predicted by the projections to slot into the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.5% pass rate.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.4 per game) this year.

Juwan Johnson has put up quite a few less air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the league this year.

Juwan Johnson ranks as one of the weakest TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 18th percentile.

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