The Saints are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.After averaging 37.0 air yards per game last year, Juwan Johnson has seen a big decrease this year, currently boasting 24.0 per game.With a RATE1-RATE2 point regression in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Juwan Johnson has been incorporated much less in his team's passing game.As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Saints profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
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