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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 61.1 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

In this game, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to place in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 5.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

When it comes to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

Juwan Johnson's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 67.7% to 62.3%.

Juwan Johnson's 6.2 adjusted yards per target this season signifies an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 8.4 figure.

This year, the strong Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a meager 3.6 YAC.

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