Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

My Account Log Out

reorder

Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
This year, the shaky Giants defense has allowed the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 6.74 YAC.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
After averaging 37.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has posted significant losses this season, now sitting at 28.0 per game.
Juwan Johnson's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 30.4.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Juwan Johnson's 18.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 32.0 rate.

More Juwan Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow