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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the shaky Giants defense has allowed the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 6.74 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • After averaging 37.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has posted significant losses this season, now sitting at 28.0 per game.
  • Juwan Johnson's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 30.4.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Juwan Johnson's 18.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 32.0 rate.

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