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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-131/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Juwan Johnson's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 63.2% to 52.0%.

Juwan Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 6.99 yards-per-target vs a 9.21 mark last season.

Juwan Johnson has been among the bottom TEs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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