Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-131/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Juwan Johnson's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 63.2% to 52.0%.
Juwan Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 6.99 yards-per-target vs a 9.21 mark last season.
Juwan Johnson has been among the bottom TEs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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