Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Juwan Johnson's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.2% to 38.0%.
Juwan Johnson's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a mere 7.92 yards-per-target vs a 9.21 rate last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.48 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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