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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+387/-804).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +387.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Juwan Johnson has put up significantly more air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

Juwan Johnson's 25.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 14.2.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.

Juwan Johnson's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 63.2% to 60.1%.

Juwan Johnson ranks in the 1st percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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