Juwan Johnson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving TD

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-680).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +381 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Juwan Johnson has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
Juwan Johnson has posted quite a few more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).
Juwan Johnson's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.2.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Juwan Johnson's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.2% to 50.0%.
Juwan Johnson grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

More Juwan Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow