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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-680).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +381 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Juwan Johnson has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

Juwan Johnson has posted quite a few more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

Juwan Johnson's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.

Juwan Johnson's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.2% to 50.0%.

Juwan Johnson grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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