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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.7% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Justin Watson's 16.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 34.7.

Justin Watson rates as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 1.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a bad 55.8% Adjusted Completion% (8th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Watson has been as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.

This year, the fierce 49ers defense has allowed a puny 57.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

More Justin Watson Player Props

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