My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After accruing 65.0 air yards per game last season, Justin Watson has undergone a big decline this season, currently pacing 26.0 per game.

Justin Watson's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.7.

Justin Watson's 20.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a material regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 31.0 figure.

More Justin Watson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™