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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Justin Watson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 52.7% to 84.9%.
  • Justin Watson's 11.0 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 8.9 rate.
  • Justin Watson's 3.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a meaningful boost in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 1.2% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Justin Watson has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (65.0 per game).
  • Justin Watson's 17.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 34.7.

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