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Justin Watson
NFL · Player Props
Justin Watson
WR · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC
NFL Props Justin Watson Receiving Yards

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After averaging 38.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Watson has undergone big improvement this year, currently averaging 67.0 per game.
  • Justin Watson's 30.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 18.0.
Favors Under
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
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