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Justin Watson
NFL · Player Props
Justin Watson
WR · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:21 AM EST
NFL Props Justin Watson Receiving Yards

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Justin Watson ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs this year with a staggering 31.5% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • Justin Watson's 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 18.0.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Justin Watson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 46.8% to 56.6%.
Favors Under
  • The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets defense has given up the fewest receiving yards per game in the league (just 111.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
  • The Jets pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, allowing 6.84 yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York's CB corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the NFL.
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