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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

Justin Watson has compiled many more air yards this season (56.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered a measly 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in football.

The Ravens pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 6.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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