My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

After accumulating 38.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Watson has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 70.0 per game.

Justin Watson's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 18.0.

Justin Watson's 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a remarkable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 17.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the fierce Bills pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.1 YAC.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Buffalo's CB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Justin Watson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™