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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-113/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Justin Watson has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).

Justin Watson's 38.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 18.0.

Justin Watson has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

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