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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With an exceptional 99.3% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.

In this week's game, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 98th percentile among WRs with 11.2 targets.

Justin Jefferson has been one of the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 6.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a feeble 59.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

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