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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

With a top-tier 99.1% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to accumulate 11.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson comes in as one of the top WRs in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 6.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The Packers safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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