My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-121).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.15 seconds per play.

The projections expect Justin Jefferson to accumulate 9.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson's 72.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

The Vikings O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Justin Jefferson ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs last year, averaging a remarkable 6.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The New York Giants safeties project as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league last year in covering receivers.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™