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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Nick Mullens in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.72 seconds per play.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Justin Jefferson's receiving performance has worsened this year, notching a measly 6.1 adjusted receptions compared to 7.5 last year.

Justin Jefferson's 65.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 72.0% rate.

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