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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 87.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 84.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 87.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects Justin Jefferson to earn 10.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Justin Jefferson has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this season (34.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (28.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

After accruing 139.0 air yards per game last season, Justin Jefferson has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 114.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson's 79.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a substantial regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 103.0 mark.

Justin Jefferson's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 67.7% to 62.5%.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

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