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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 84.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 88.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

With a top-tier 99.1% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to accumulate 11.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

With a terrific 10.5 adjusted yards per target (95th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson ranks among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

After totaling 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has fallen off this year, now boasting 110.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson has accumulated many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (92.0) this season than he did last season (103.0).

The Packers defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) vs. wideouts this year.

This year, the daunting Packers defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a puny 7.7 yards.

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