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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 97th percentile among WRs with 9.8 targets.

Justin Jefferson's 78.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 70.9.

Justin Jefferson ranks as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging an outstanding 10.34 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.9 per game) this year.

Justin Jefferson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (112.0 per game) than he did last season (139.0 per game).

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