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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 99.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 98.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Jefferson to earn 11.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.

The Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.52 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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