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Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 93.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) to WRs since the start of last season (61.2%).The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
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