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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup QB Jaren Hall.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

This week, Justin Jefferson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.9 targets.

Justin Jefferson has accrued far more air yards this season (139.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Justin Jefferson's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 72.0% to 66.5%.

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