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Justin Jefferson
NFL · Player Props
Justin Jefferson
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receiving Yards
Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 92.5 (-165/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 88.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 92.5 @ -165.

Favors Over
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Jefferson to accrue 10.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Justin Jefferson has accumulated a lot more receiving yards per game (103.0) this year than he did last year (90.0).
Favors Under
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
  • Justin Jefferson has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (86.0 per game) than he did last season (128.0 per game).
  • Justin Jefferson's 67.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 81.0.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
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