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Justin Jefferson
NFL · Player Props
Justin Jefferson
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receiving Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 100.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 97.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 100.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Justin Jefferson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (128.0 per game).
  • Justin Jefferson's 67.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 81.0.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.2%) to WRs this year (64.2%).
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