My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Jefferson to earn 12.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Justin Jefferson has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (114.0 per game) than he did last year (128.0 per game).

Justin Jefferson's 72.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 81.0.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) versus wideouts this year.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™