My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.6% red zone pass rate.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in football against the Cleveland Browns defense this year (61.6% Adjusted Completion%).

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™