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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+205/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (50.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chargers.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.
  • This week, Justin Herbert is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.0.

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