My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 53.7% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (51.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™