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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (51.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Justin Herbert rates as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 62.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 24th percentile.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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