My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 38.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.

Justin Herbert has been among the leading touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 2.25 per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™